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January 25, 2001

The network: Ubiquitous, focused and specialized

If we could step back and look at the world from a distance, we could see the Network of 2010, at least in outline. It’s out there today, in bits and pieces, waiting to change our competitive lives. Even if we can’t predict, exactly, how the technology might work, we can see the forces of change that are driving its evolution, and picture its shape and scope.

Rob Rodin is CEO of eConnections
 

Change isn’t incremental anymore; it’s exponential. Bandwidth explodes. Wireless replaces copper. Globalization spreads, as businesses buy, sell and out-source around the world. Competition gets fiercer as product life cycles shrink. Customers keep demanding more, relentlessly: cheaper, faster, better—and made to order. The battle isn’t just company versus company. It’s supply chain versus supply chain, with market share and margin going to organizations that harness the best talents worldwide and work most efficiently.

A new generation will have come of age by 2010, the first to grow up in cyberspace. They will live and work in a landscape where everything and every-one is connected, constantly, chip to chip, in a network of networks, where machines with complex instructions and monitoring systems embedded inside will interface only with each other. No one will boot up. The con-nections will always be on, controlled by voice or triggered by body telemetry. E-business will disappear, like e-everything else. The network will be ubiquitous, no more remarked upon than the phone.

Time will be the most precious currency. Supply chain success won’t be measured in connectivity or transactions, but in the coordinated ability to move, reduce and eliminate work, to cut steps, shave costs and save time. While the net-work will include major transactional plumbing capability, and some hub and spoke connectivity, specialists will add the value. They’ll work to tailor the network interface to individual users, and make it run on full power, fueled by intellectual property, domain expertise, and a toolbox filled with process solutions.

Managers will turn their mechanical tasks over to a smart agent, a bot cus-tomized to fit their personal profile and needs. Their individual representative on the network, the agent will search out the best routes to the best connec-tions, based on explicit and implicit commands. Using the rules it has been given, it will find the best answers for questions of price and delivery, shopping and shipping, transactions, hand-offs, steps and processes, value and relationships.

Reporting by exception will give managers freedom to make exceptions and override decisions. It will boost the signal to noise ratio, too, improving the quality of the information available to make those choices. But individual agents will be able to learn, too, through self-diagnostic features designed into the com-mand
profile.

Smart agents will talk to a smart network, finding the specialists with the best solutions, then teaching and learning together to make them better. Specialists will market themselves two ways, through high-touch human-to-human contact with customers and potential customers, and through the network to customer’s individual agents, offering specific features and benefits tailored to agents’ profiles.

Challenges of management will be more intense. The network will create unforeseeable opportunities and risks. Change will hurtle forward, and com-petition will accelerate. For all the tech-nological power available in 2010, human factors will be primary as they are today. There’s no icon for wisdom, no technology to replace leadership, and no direct connection to courage or daring.

Rob Rodin